Company Town Film Profit Report
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This report is based on projections of total U.S. box-office gross from a consensus of industry sources and studio financial models. The U.S. and Canadian returns (about 55% of gross) represent only 20% of a film’s final revenue, which includes overseas theatrical, video and TV income. The industry marketing average of $30 million per film is factored into these profit equations, as is the relative strength of specific film genres in foreign markets. Results for the weekend of Aug. 24-26:
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Highlights:
* A trio of new films, Sony’s “Ghost of Mars,” Dreamworks’ “Curse of the Jade Scorpion” and Disney’s “Bubble Boy” will forfeit a large part of their investments.
* “Jay & Silent Bob” looks to break even for Miramax as should “Summer Catch” for Warner Bros.
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$$ Mega-Moneymakers ($50 million or more in profit)
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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions Rush Hour 2 New Line 2 $90 $220 Jurassic Park III Universal 12 92 175 Planet of the Apes Fox 10 100 175 American Pie 2 Universal 1 30 140 The Princess Diaries Disney 7 30 95
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$ Moneymakers ($10 million or more in profit)
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Projected Box- Estimated U.S. box-office office cost, in receipts, Movie title Studio rank millions in millions The Others Dimension 4 $17 $65
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? Toss-ups ($5 million or more in profit/loss)
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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions Rat Race Paramount/Fireworks 5 $48 Jay and Silent Bob Miramax 3 22 Summer Catch Warner Bros. 6 17
Projected U.S. box-office receipts, Movie title in millions Rat Race $45 Jay and Silent Bob 28 Summer Catch 22
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Losers (less than $5 million)
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Box- Estimated office cost, in Movie title Studio rank millions Captain Corelli’s Mandolin Universal/Miramax 8 $57 Ghost of Mars Sony 9 28 Curse of Jade Scorpion Dreamworks 11 26 Bubble Boy Disney -- 13
Projected U.S. box-office receipts, Movie title in millions Captain Corelli’s Mandolin $20 Ghost of Mars 12 Curse of Jade Scorpion 8 Bubble Boy 6
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Notes: Cost estimates are for production only. Only half of box-office receipts come back to the studio.
If you have information or comments about the chart, call (213) 237-2001 or send e-mail to [email protected]. Send faxes to (213) 237-7837.
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